This bar chart shows current and future employment for Temple Terrace and the two ZIP Codes partially within. ZIP Code 33617 will receive 4,142 new jobs (48% higher than 2020). ZIP Code 33637 will receive 7,606 new jobs (60% higher than 2020). Combined, Temple Terrace will receive 11,748 new jobs (55% higher than 2020).

Published
November 1, 2023

Contact
Yassert A. Gonzalez Manager – Economics, Demographics & Research 813-582-7356 [email protected]

Last updated
November 30, 2023

Every five years staff conducts a collaborative exercise which results in new long-range forecasts[1]. Land use planners from all jurisdictions were invited to comment on the intial draft. The final draft and all supporting documentation are found here: 2050 Long Range Growth Forecasts.  This month we are reviewing 2050 projections for the City of Temple Terrace. This the fourth in a series. Previous months’ articles are found here.

For Temple Terrace, we will be reviewing projections for the entire City of Temple Terrace and two ZIP Codes partially within:  33617 and 33637 (See Figure 1).

Figure 1.  Temple Terrace and ZIP Codes 33617 and 33637 partially within

This map shows the boundary for the City of Temple Terrace (highlighted). It also shows ZIP Codes 33617 and 33637 partially within Temple Terrace.

As stated in an earlier article, from 2010 to 2020 the Temple Terrace’s population grew 9% to 26,832 residents. By 2050, as seen in Table 1 and Figure 2, Temple Terrace’s population is expected to reach 34,483 people (7,651 new residents or 29% higher than 2020 population).  As also seen in a previous article, nearly 1% of all new residents to Hillsborough County are expected to move to Temple Terrace.  In terms of growth trends within ZIP Codes, most of new residents are moving ZIP Code 33637 (which straddles Morris Bridge Road).  Over half of the Temple Terrace’s residents live on ZIP Code 33617 (which straddles 56th Street).  Although ZIP Code 33637 will grow fastest through 2050, ZIP Code 33617 will still be the most populous.  The population difference in the ZIP Codes should be much narrower.

As seen in Table 1, ZIP Codes 33617 and 33637 are expected to attract 38% and 42% of new residents, respectively. Figure 3 shows areas (in darker purple) with most new residents per acre through 2050.

Table 1.  Population Projections by ZIP Codes partially within Temple Terrace

Area2020 Population2050 Population2020-2050 Change2020-2050 Percent ChangeShare of New Population Through 2050
3361714,93517,8172,88319%38%
3363711,89716,6664,76840%62%
Temple Terrace Total26,83234,4837,65129%1%

Figure 2.  Current and Future Population for ZIP Codes partially within Temple Terrace

This bar chart shows current and future population for Temple Terrace and the two ZIP Codes partially within. ZIP Code 33617 will receive 4,142 new jobs (48% higher than 2020). ZIP Code 33637 will receive 7,606 new jobs (60% higher than 2020). Combined, Temple Terrace will receive 11,748 (55% higher than 2020).

Figure 3.  Kernel Density of New Population per Acre Through 2050 for Temple Terrace

This map shows kernel density for new persons per acre through 2050 for the City of Temple Terrace. Most newcomers are expected to move to darker purple areas like 56th Street (between Fowler and Fletcher) and Harney Road.

In terms of employment, from 2010 to 2020 the Temple Terrace’s employment grew 25% to 21,299 jobs (See Demographic Profile). By 2050, as seen in Table 2 and Figure 4, Temple Terrace’s employment is expected to reach 33,047 jobs (11,748 new jobs or 55% higher than 2020 jobs). Temple Terrace is expected to attract only 3% of all new jobs in Hillsborough County through 2050. In terms of jobs growth within each ZIP Code, most jobs in Temple Terrace are projected to remain in ZIP Code 33637 (60% of 2020 jobs and 61% of projected 2050 jobs). Figure 5 shows areas (in darker green) with most new jobs per acre through 2050.

Table 2.  Employment Projections by ZIP Codes partially within Temple Terrace

Area2020 Employment2050 Employment2020-2050 Change2020-2050 Percent ChangeShare of New Employment Through 2050
336178,62412,7664,14248%35%
3363712,67420,2807,60660%65%
Temple Terrace Total21,29933,04711,74855%3%

Figure 4.  Current and Future Employment for ZIP Codes partially within Temple Terrace

Figure 5.  Kernel Density of New Employment per Acre Through 2050 for Temple Terrace

Map shows kernel density of new employment per acre through 2050 for the City of Temple Terrace. Darker green areas indicate where most new jobs will be located.

To conclude, population and jobs in Temple Terrace are expected to grow 29% and 55%, respetively, through 2050. This is the second fastest job growth in Hillsborough County.  The city is expected to attract 1% of the newcomers and 3% of new jobs.  For more information:  2050 Long Range Growth Forecasts.


[1] The initial draft was based BEBR’s projections published in 2022.  Link:  https://www.bebr.ufl.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/projections_2022.pdf